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GeneralRe: Today, I had to take Herself to hospital for the results of her B & BAL Pin
OriginalGriff16-Dec-20 12:43
mveOriginalGriff16-Dec-20 12:43 
GeneralRe: Today, I had to take Herself to hospital for the results of her B & BAL Pin
Rick York16-Dec-20 14:54
mveRick York16-Dec-20 14:54 
GeneralRe: Today, I had to take Herself to hospital for the results of her B & BAL Pin
Jörgen Andersson16-Dec-20 22:36
professionalJörgen Andersson16-Dec-20 22:36 
GeneralRe: Today, I had to take Herself to hospital for the results of her B & BAL Pin
Slacker00716-Dec-20 14:53
professionalSlacker00716-Dec-20 14:53 
GeneralRe: Today, I had to take Herself to hospital for the results of her B & BAL Pin
Daniel Pfeffer16-Dec-20 21:08
professionalDaniel Pfeffer16-Dec-20 21:08 
GeneralRe: Today, I had to take Herself to hospital for the results of her B & BAL Pin
BillWoodruff16-Dec-20 21:47
mveBillWoodruff16-Dec-20 21:47 
GeneralRe: Today, I had to take Herself to hospital for the results of her B & BAL Pin
Rage17-Dec-20 1:36
professionalRage17-Dec-20 1:36 
GeneralBayesian stats & a Q Pin
raddevus16-Dec-20 9:17
mvaraddevus16-Dec-20 9:17 
I'm reading the book, Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way, (No Starch Press)[^].

It's perfect for my level of mathiness. And it actually is a fun book so far. Good book for thinking different.

Anyways, at the end of chapter 3 there is a quiz with a question:
quiz
What is the probability of rolling a 20 three times in a row on a 20-sided die?

As you probably already know this is
P(X) and P(X) and P(X) -- each die roll is a mutually exclusive events

1/20 * 1/20 * 1/20 = (.05 * .05 * .05) = 0.000125
Flip it upside down 1 - 0.000125 = 0.999875 (99.9875% chance you won't succeed).

Turn that into a fraction and you get: 1/8000

Here's the Q
Does that mean, on average you would have to try 3 rolls of a 20-sided die 8,000 times (24,000 die rolls) before you would achieve this feat?

With odds like that, I can probably beat The House in Vegas. Roll eyes | :rolleyes:
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
OriginalGriff16-Dec-20 9:30
mveOriginalGriff16-Dec-20 9:30 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
raddevus16-Dec-20 9:32
mvaraddevus16-Dec-20 9:32 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
CodeWraith16-Dec-20 9:40
CodeWraith16-Dec-20 9:40 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
OriginalGriff16-Dec-20 10:15
mveOriginalGriff16-Dec-20 10:15 
JokeRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
Daniel Pfeffer16-Dec-20 9:42
professionalDaniel Pfeffer16-Dec-20 9:42 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
Daniel Pfeffer16-Dec-20 9:40
professionalDaniel Pfeffer16-Dec-20 9:40 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
raddevus16-Dec-20 11:54
mvaraddevus16-Dec-20 11:54 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
Nelek16-Dec-20 9:55
protectorNelek16-Dec-20 9:55 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
raddevus16-Dec-20 11:55
mvaraddevus16-Dec-20 11:55 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
Sander Rossel16-Dec-20 9:58
professionalSander Rossel16-Dec-20 9:58 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
raddevus16-Dec-20 11:56
mvaraddevus16-Dec-20 11:56 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
W Balboos, GHB16-Dec-20 10:13
mveW Balboos, GHB16-Dec-20 10:13 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
Greg Utas16-Dec-20 10:27
mveGreg Utas16-Dec-20 10:27 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
Daniel Pfeffer16-Dec-20 10:48
professionalDaniel Pfeffer16-Dec-20 10:48 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
raddevus16-Dec-20 11:58
mvaraddevus16-Dec-20 11:58 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
Kornfeld Eliyahu Peter16-Dec-20 11:41
professionalKornfeld Eliyahu Peter16-Dec-20 11:41 
GeneralRe: Bayesian stats & a Q Pin
raddevus16-Dec-20 11:59
mvaraddevus16-Dec-20 11:59 

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Straw Poll

An amazing AI programming tool is invented that can do one task perfectly. What would you choose?
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