While I'm sure there's a degree of "Dunning–Kruger effect" here, as well as (among the 22% who are "well above average") a little bit of unjustified snobbery, it is actually conceivable that the survey results are accurate. It's possible that most below-average developers don't actually participate in the survey or in CodeProject in general, which would skew the results upward.
It also depends on how you define average. It isn't unreasonable to think that a large proportion are in the middle and are similarly "good", with some at both ends that might be much, much, better or worse. The notion that the best are orders of magnitude more productive than the average is pretty much accepted, though 22% certainly don't fall into that category.
What you are seeing is not "how much above average developers there is" but "how much above average developers there is that also read codeproject".
Developers reading about development are not that many, most work to pay the bill and go home, never reading anything.
Codeproject developers are above average developers average for that reason.
1725 people responded (so far) to the poll out of 10 million users. Don't you think there might be some selection bias in those who choose to respond. Two points. First, the ones who respond are more likely to be the sorts of folks who are engaged in and interested in the programming community. I'd say those folks are more likely to be exceptional. Second, and perhaps more important, maybe the exceptional folks are more likely to be willing to toot their own horn than the below average folks are willing to admit to themselves that they might be in the wrong profession.
Frankly, I'm surprised the results aren't even more skewed towards the top.
Well,i feel like above average but still there is a thing to consider it.Comparing my circumstances,logic and skill with the people i knew or i worked, my mind considers mine as above average, .
But,damn sure if i would participate an world class event where some very good developers would compete then i could find myself as below average, .
I also feel like a fallen god, there is so much I don't know at this point. Now, while lack of knowledge doesn't make me a poor programmer, it does make me an unskilled programmer in a variety of areas! Ah, semantics!
I'm sorry, I should have said that the below average programmers would not spend any time actually reading the articles on Code Project. There are plenty of below average types who post "Gimmie the codez".
Just because the code works, it doesn't mean that it is good code.
I see you point and the math behind it, but I disagree about lies. In this case the question has the "do you consider yourself" which is not enough. What is missing is the strict definition of the comparison in a form like globally, in your company, in CP etc (you may not agree). Because of that and since the question triggers self-esteem in the background, I recognize two possible states in any answer: true or false not truth or lie.
To make it more clear if I say that I'm well above average comparing myself with my colleagues in my company, it may be true for this comparison but not necessarily for all other comparisons. To make it wider and add another aspect, if I say that I’m better than you and it is also true, that doesn't necessarily mean that I'm good.
Living in an owned "fairytale" is the most common way of living and this is not a lie.